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Monthly Market outlook august 2024

Merisis Wealth Monthly Outlook - August 2024 πŸ“Š

 

πŸ“… August 2024 update:

In recent months, the economic outlook has been mixed with notable shifts across various indicators. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, has risen to 5.08% YoY in June 2024, while the WPI also increased to 3.36% YoY. The industrial sector showed strength with IIP growth accelerating to 5.90% YoY in May 2024, though GDP growth slowed to 7.80% YoY by March 2024. Credit growth has softened to 14.00% YoY in July 2024, and export growth lagged at 2.56% YoY in June 2024. The trade balance improved to a deficit of $20.98 billion in June, and FII flows were positive at β‚Ή32,365 crore in July. Gold prices rose to $2,448.10 per ounce, while the US 10-year bond yield fell to 4.1%. This combination of inflationary pressures, varied growth rates, and fluctuating financial metrics paints a complex picture of the market landscape.

Key Highlights:

  • Inflation: CPI rose to 5.08% YoY in Jun-24 πŸ“ˆ
  • WPI: Increased to 3.36% YoY in Jun-24 πŸ“Š
  • IIP: Growth accelerated to 5.90% YoY in May-24 πŸš€
  • GDP: Slowed to 7.80% YoY in Mar-24 🏦
  • Credit Growth: Decreased to 14.00% YoY in Jul-24 πŸ“‰
  • Export Growth: Fell to 2.56% YoY in Jun-24 🚒
  • Trade Balance: Improved to -$20.98 billion in Jun-24 πŸ’΅
  • FII Flows: Increased to β‚Ή32,365 crore in Jul-24 πŸ“ˆ
  • Gold Price: Increased to $2,448.10 per ounce in Jul-24 πŸ’°
  • US 10 Year Bond Yield: Fell to 4.1% in Jul-24 πŸ“‰

Download the full presentation here

Authors

  • Naresh Bulchandani, CFA, CAIA